2020-11-19 • Updated
EUR/USD has again failed to cross the resistance of 1.1900 this week and directed to the downside. The pair’s drop isn’t linked only with the euro’s weakness, but also with the dollar’s strength. The market was indecisive for some time, but virus fears outweigh vaccine hopes eventually, and the risk-off entered the market.
Today is a really important day for the euro as ECB’s President Lagarde has had a meeting already and the EU conference is ahead. Lagarde’s speech drove the EUR down as she gave pessimistic comments on the economic recovery of Eurozone and emphasized the devastating effect of the fresh Covid-19 resurgence. Indeed, the number of new infections rose significantly, and EU countries imposed social distancing restrictions and lockdowns. Elsewhere, Lagarde claimed that additional monetary and fiscal support will be needed. A potential further easing pushed the euro down.
EUR/USD has broken through the 50-period moving average at the 1.1830 level. The way to the key psychological mark of 1.1800 is clear now. If it manages to cross it, it may fall to the 200-period moving average of 1.17825. However, the 50-period moving average has been supporting the pair so far this week, so it may turn to the upside again. The strong resistance area is 1.1890-1.19000. The move above it will drive the pair further up to the next round number of 1.1950. Follow the EU Conference at 17:00 MT time as it will impact the euro!
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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