2021-03-23 • Updated
Societe Generale, a leading European investment bank, expressed optimism over the South African rand’s growth. Why? Firstly, the bank believes the ongoing global recovery will underpin the emerging market currency in the upcoming months. Secondly, the rand is usually influenced by credit rating downgrades. And since Societe Generale doesn’t expect any further downgrades for South Africa, the rand is safe from this risk. Finally, 2021 should bring many benefits for South Africa such as improving relations with China and greater inclusion in global trade.
"We are inclined to reload on tactically bullish ZAR positions as global markets move closer to finding a new Developing Markets rates equilibrium environment," says Societe Generale.
The South African rand is going to rise over the coming months. After the deep slump at the start of the coronavirus pandemic, the rand (as well as other emerging market currencies) has managed to recover in the second part of 2020 and keeps rising this year as investors foresee a strong economic recovery in 2021.
USD/ZAR has been moving sideways between 15.50 and 14.45. Now it has approached both the middle line of Bollinger Bands and the 50-day moving average of 14.90. Thus the pullback down is likely to occur. On the way down the pair may meet the support levels at the low of March 17 at 14.60 and the February low of 14.45. In the opposite scenario, if it breaks the strong resistance of 14.90, the way up to the high of February 26 at 15.10 will be open.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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