Bearish Scenario: Sales below 5220... Bullish Scenario: Buys above 5225 (if price fails to break below decisively) ...
USD/RUB: technical long term
2020-06-16 • Updated
Currently, one USD dollar costs approximately 70 Russian rubles.
The latest bullish episode doesn’t change the fact that the mid-term tendency is still bearish. Why? A strategic perspective explains that pretty well. The USD/RUB relationship is quite sensitive to oil crises as we have explained before – in fact, that is almost the only factor that may abruptly push USD/RUB away from its “default” trajectory. The latter is dictated by the global superiority of the US economy against Russian economic weakness that logically results in the appreciation of the USD.
That’s why the strategic lowest lows (as in the monthly chart below) keep lining up in a straight line with positive inclination. While the highest highs make USD/RUB eventually bounce and slide down, it inevitably gets back into the upward trajectory. In the meantime, 70 is the level at which USD/CAD finds itself at equilibrium. For this reason, regardless of the short-term picture, in the nearest future, we are going to see USD/RUB circle around the level of 70. But when the long-term trajectory comes to test this level, we are likely to see another gradual rise followed by possible another surge.
Similar
Bearish Scenario: Sell below 39600... Anticipated Bullish Scenario: Intraday buys above 39750... Bullish Scenario after Retracement: Intraday buys above 39150
Bearish scenario: Shorts below 18100 with TP1: 17900... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday Longs above 18130 with TP...
Latest news
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...