How to predict the exchange rates?

How to predict the exchange rates?

2024-05-30 • Updated

It’s time for action! You learned how to open and close trading orders In Metatrader. Now you are ready to trade on the Forex market. But how to decide what to do – buy or sell? Is there an answer?

Luckily there is! You buy a currency if you think that its exchange rate will rise in the future and you sell it if you predict its price to decline.

To make such a forecast, you need to look at two things – a chart in Metatrader and an economic calendar. Below you will find a quick guide on how to analyze the Forex market and trade with profit.

How to earn with the help of fundamental analysis?

Fundamental analysis doesn’t mean that you will have to do a hard and exhausting job. Fundamental simply means ‘economic’. If an economy is doing fine, all things equal, its currency will appreciate.

To make a forecast about the future value of the EUR versus the USD, we need to compare the economies of the eurozone and the United States: whichever is doing better, that currency will strengthen. For example, imagine that the European economy rose by 0.5%, while the US economy increased by 2% during the same period. The strength is clearly on the side of the US, so traders will expect the EUR to decline versus the USD. To make money on this decline, they will sell EUR/USD.

Every day the world’s most important countries release their economic statistics. You can find the calendar of these releases, the forecasts for them and the actual figures in the economic calendar. If you check it regularly, you will get a lot of great trade ideas.

st1.png

Have a look! On May 23, 2018, a British indicator came out below the forecast, while the US figures were fine. As a result, GBP/USD declined during that day. You could have opened a sell trade and earned money!

How to make money using technical analysis

Technical analysis is also simpler than it sounds. It doesn’t require the knowledge of math or mechanics. All you need to do is to draw lines and watch the indicators – the same way that you look at your car’s speed gauge.

The main principle is that you buy at low levels and sell at high levels. Moreover, a trend is your friend. A trend is when a chart moves in one direction – up or down – for a considerable time. Traders buy during an uptrend and sell during a downtrend. An uptrend is a situation when the price constantly sets higher lows and higher highs. A downtrend is when the price forms a series of lower highs and lows. Below you can see an example of a downtrend.

st2.png

Notice that traders usually connect chart highs and lows by the so-called trendlines as we did at this picture. You can tell that it’s a downtrend when you connect two highs with a descending line (points 1 and 2). Technical analysis allows you to expect that the next time the price comes to this line (point 3), it will reverse down and you will be able to sell. You will be able to close your trade at points 4 or 5.

This is just one of the techniques you can use. To have even more options for gaining, check our tutorials.

What type of analysis to use?

The logical question now is when to use fundamental and when to use technical analysis. Some traders are trading only on economic news, while others feel that they need only the price chart for success. Both types of analysis have their advantages. There’s also an opportunity to take the best out of both methods: choose to buy or sell with the help of economic analysis and then determine the optimal level to enter your trade with MetaTrader technical tools. This way you will double your chances of profit!   

Similar

Forex Trading Plan Example and Definition
Forex Trading Plan Example and Definition

Trading has several levels of complexity, starting from the easiest, like buying and selling random assets, to a more comprehensive one, with deliberate risk management, timing, and objectives.

Frequently asked questions

  • How to start trading?

    If you are 18+ years old, you can join FBS and begin your FX journey. To trade, you need a brokerage account and sufficient knowledge on how assets behave in the financial markets. Start with studying the basics with our free educational materials and creating an FBS account. You may want to test the environment with virtual money with a Demo account. Once you are ready, enter the real market and trade to succeed.

  • How to open an FBS account?

    Click the 'Open account' button on our website and proceed to the Trader Area. Before you can start trading, pass a profile verification. Confirm your email and phone number, get your ID verified. This procedure guarantees the safety of your funds and identity. Once you are done with all the checks, go to the preferred trading platform, and start trading.

  • How to withdraw the money you earned with FBS?

    The procedure is very straightforward. Go to the Withdrawal page on the website or the Finances section of the FBS Trader Area and access Withdrawal. You can get the earned money via the same payment system that you used for depositing. In case you funded the account via various methods, withdraw your profit via the same methods in the ratio according to the deposited sums.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

 1
 93
 355
 213
 1684
 376
 244
 1264
 672
 1268
 54
 374
 297
 61
 43
 994
 1242
 973
 880
 1246
 375
 32
 501
 229
 1441
 975
 591
 387
 267
 55
 246
 673
 359
 226
 257
 855
 237
 1
 238
 1345
 236
 235
 56
 86
 61
 61
 57
 269
 242
 243
 682
 506
 225
 385
 53
 357
 420
 45
 253
 1767
 1809
 593
 20
 503
 240
 291
 372
 251
 500
 298
 679
 358
 33
 594
 689
 241
 220
 995
 49
 233
 350
 30
 299
 1473
 590
 1671
 502
 224
 245
 592
 509
 39
 504
 852
 36
 354
 91
 62
 98
 964
 353
 44
 972
 39
 1876
 81
 962
 7
 254
 686
 850
 82
 965
 996
 856
 371
 961
 266
 231
 218
 423
 370
 352
 853
 389
 261
 265
 60
 960
 223
 356
 692
 596
 222
 230
 262
 52
 691
 373
 377
 976
 382
 1664
 212
 258
 95
 264
 674
 977
 31
 599
 687
 64
 505
 227
 234
 683
 672
 1670
 47
 968
 92
 680
 970
 507
 675
 595
 51
 63
 64
 48
 351
 1787
 974
 262
 40
 7
 250
 590
 290
 1869
 1758
 590
 508
 1784
 685
 378
 239
 966
 221
 381
 248
 232
 65
 421
 386
 677
 252
 27
 500
 34
 94
 249
 597
 268
 46
 41
 963
 886
 992
 255
 66
 670
 228
 690
 676
 1868
 216
 90
 993
 1649
 688
 256
 380
 971
 44
 1
 1
 598
 998
 678
 58
 84
 1284
 1
 681
 2
 967
 260
 263
00:00
00:00
00:00
01:00
02:00
03:00
04:00
05:00
06:00
07:00
08:00
09:00
10:00
11:00
12:00
13:00
14:00
15:00
16:00
17:00
18:00
19:00
20:00
21:00
22:00
23:00
23:00
23:00
00:00
01:00
02:00
03:00
04:00
05:00
06:00
07:00
08:00
09:00
10:00
11:00
12:00
13:00
14:00
15:00
16:00
17:00
18:00
19:00
20:00
21:00
22:00
23:00

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera